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Sunday, November 10, 2013

Why America and Iran need one another

The logic of diplomacy is driving these two great enemies towards a most unlikely entente

John Kerry meets with EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs, Catherine Ashton and Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif at the Iran Nuclear talks in Geneva, Switzerland.
John Kerry meets with EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs, Catherine Ashton and Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif at the Iran Nuclear talks in Geneva, Switzerland. Photo: JASON REED/AP
An ear-bashing from Benjamin Netanyahu in the morning; an intense but convivial five hours with Iran’s foreign minister in the evening. All in all, it was an unusual Friday for John Kerry, as his quest to break the deadlock over Iran’s nuclear ambitions came tantalisingly close to succeeding.
In Geneva, Mr Kerry spent more face time with an emissary of America’s leading enemy than any secretary of state for 34 years; in Israel, he felt the fury of Washington’s best friend in the Middle East. As it happened, the deal on Iran’s nuclear programme which Mr Netanyahu pre-emptively condemned with such vehemence was never actually signed. But it could well be when talks resume next Wednesday. After countless false starts, a decade of diplomatic effort, designed to defuse the world’s most dangerous running crisis, appears to be reaching its climax.
As the vital moment draws near, two issues lie behind every calculation. First, there are the “facts on the ground” created by the advance of Iran’s nuclear programme, which could give the Islamic Republic’s leaders the option of building the ultimate weapon. Then there is the stark question: which side needs a deal more?
Mr Kerry and his Iranian counterpart, Mohammad Javad Zarif, were not trying to settle everything in Geneva; rather, they were striving to reach a “first step agreement”, which would have frozen Iran’s nuclear programme in return for some easing of Western sanctions. The aim was to buy time for a comprehensive agreement later on.
Most of all, Mr Kerry wanted to stop Iran’s nuclear advance in its tracks. His opposite number knew this quite well – indeed, perhaps nobody understands nuclear-tipped diplomacy better than Mr Zarif. This impeccably mannered, razor-sharp envoy spent his formative years in America, studying at San Francisco State University and taking a doctorate in international law from Denver University. Both of his children were born in America, making them US citizens by birth. His perfect English has a slight American drawl

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